THUNDERSTORMS CHECKLIST

Fundamental parameters for thunderstorms formation

Item Parameter Yes No
1 MUCAPE>0 J/kg
2 LAPSE RATES 800-600 hPa (K/km)>6
4 Specific umidity at 950 hPa > x
5 CIN < 100 J/kg

Click here to evaluate CIN reduction mechanisms

Forcings for ascent and thunderstorm initiation

Item Parameter Yes No
1 SYNOPTIC SCALE: Frontal | Trough passage
2 SYNOPTIC SCALE: PV anomaly
3 SYNOPTIC SCALE: Jet streaks : Left Exit | Right Entrance
4 MESOSCALE: Thermal boundary: gradient on theta@950 + wind convergence line
5 LOCAL SCALE: Flow over orography
6 LOCAL SCALE: Breeze boundaries

NWP Interpretation

Item Parameter Yes No
1 Probability of convective precipitations >10% (TP3 > 40mm/3h)?

What will be the prevailing storm mode?

Item Parameter WEAK MODERATE or STRONG in the lower levels STRONG and DEEP
1 Deep layer shear
SHORT and MESSY LONG and STRAIGHT LONG and CURVED
2 Hodograph shape

Ordinary cells

Click here for severe weather evaluation

Multicells

Click here for severe weather evaluation

Supercells

Click here for severe weather evaluation

Nowcasting

Click here for nowcasting monitoring